It's the time of draft season when we turn the show over to *you*, and answer your questions. Are changes to the NFL permanently changing fantasy positional strategies? Who's the last QB we'd feel confident starting without drafting another QB? Is Justin Fields being overrated? Who would win in a 40-yard dash? We'll tackle serious questions and silly ones, and also react to the news that Jeff Wilson has headed to Injured Reserve! Guest: Andy Behrens of Yahoo! Fantasy.
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When the double-digit rounds arrive, who will you take? Today's episode is devoted to the players *we* find *ourselves* taking late in fantasy drafts; some have high-upside, some have undervalued safe floors, and all of them could wind up being fantasy football bargains in 2023. We'll also discuss NFL Cutdown Day, and in particular what remains now that Jonathan Taylor apparently will not play in September and perhaps beyond that. Guest: JJ Zachariason from LateRound.com.
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JJ's Late-Round Players He Loves:
5. Kenneth Gainwell
4. Marvin Mims
3. Jaylen Warren
2. Sam Howell
1. Jayden Reed
Chris's Late-Round Players He Loves:
5. Kendre Miller
4. Tyjae Spears
3. Jameson Williams
2. Devin Singletary
1. Jakobi Meyers
In this business, you have to make a call on everyone! And so we do it, we come up with the players you think will overachieve in 2023 and the players we wouldn't select at their current ADPs...but what if we're wrong? Today we'll look at players we aren't changing our takes on, but we understand how those takes could come back to bite us because of each guy's particular talent and circumstances. Also we'll talk some more about how pick location is influencing snake-draft roster construction this season. Guest: Scott Pianowski of Yahoo! Fantasy.
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Scott's Players He's Worried He Could Be Wrong About:
5. Alvin Kamara
4. Calvin Ridley
3. Kyle Pitts
2. Mike Evans
1. Christian McCaffrey
Chris's Players He's Worried He Could Be Wrong About:
5. Alvin Kamara
4. Amon-Ra St. Brown
3. Travis Etienne
2. Jaylen Waddle
1. Bijan Robinson
No news can be good news! As the rest of our fantasy football drafts approach, today we'll discuss some possible draftees who've had very quiet Augusts. You haven't heard lots of debate about them, they haven't suffered injuries or had to worry about very much about losing their jobs -- they're just plugging away, and as such might not be front of mind when your draft day arrives. Also we'll talk about general superflex strategies and also about leagues where tight end has been folded into a flex with wideouts. Guest: Sigmund Bloom of FootballGuys.com.
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Sig Bloom's Unbuzzed-About Players:
5. Isiah Pacheco
4. Van Jefferson
3. Rashid Shaheed (also watch A.T. Perry as super-deep)
2. Jahan Dotson
1. Alexander Mattison
Chris's Unbuzzed-About Players:
5. DK Metcalf
4. Alexander Mattison
3. Michael Thomas
2. Mike Williams
1. Cam Akers
Today we'll continue listing our super-deep sleepers for fantasy football in 2023: players you really probably shouldn't draft in a regular 12-team, 16-round league, but who could wind up making an impact if things fall correctly for them during the season. These might be the waiver wire guys we're in early on, and who win us leagues! Plus we'll do Cousin Josh's Warp Zone players: guys Josh thinks will outperform their ADPs by at least two rounds! Guest: Cousin Josh.
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Cousin Josh's Warp Zone Players For 2023:
5. Elijah Mitchell
4. Diontae Johnson
3. David Montgomery
2. Daniel Jones
1. Christian Kirk
Super-Deep Sleepers For 2023 - Part 2!
D’Ernest Johnson, RB, JAC
Keaton Mitchell, RB, BAL
Josh Palmer, WR, LAC
Deneric Prince, RB, KC
Cole Turner, TE, WAS
Today we're giving you names you shouldn't draft! This is the annual Super-Deep Sleeper list, which contains guys who probably aren't draftable in most 12-team leagues, but they're cool players we think might have a chance to pop if given an opportunity in 2023. This is not your typical sleeper list, but it will put names on your radar screen for if/when they become viable waiver claims as the season progresses. Guest: Matt Harmon of Yahoo! Fantasy.
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Matt's Super-Deep Sleepers For 2023:
Michael Wilson, WR, ARI
Kevin Harris, RB, NE
Jelani Woods, TE, IND
Puka Nacua, WR, LAR
Rashid Shaheed, WR, NO ***
Chris's Super-Deep Sleepers For 2023 Part 1:
Mike Boone, RB, HOU
Demario Douglas, WR, NE
Noah Gray, TE, KC
Deonte Harty, WR, BUF
Richie James, WR, KC
*** - The "Yell-At-Matt" List:
Rashid Shaheed
Rico Dowdle
Jerome Ford
Eric Gray
Chris Evans
Keaontay Ingram
Today we'll talk about some younger players who've seen their fantasy football stocks change over the past six months or so. Certainly this is useful for those of us who participate in dynasty leagues, but it's also another angle for us to discuss our expecations for 2023 as well. Plus we'll break down Kyle Pitts's game film to decide what the heck happened with him last year, and review the injuries to Jaxon Smith-Njigba and DK Metcalf. Guest: Pat Fitzmaurice of FantasyPros.
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Pat's Dynasty Ups & Downs:
5. Trey Lance (down)
4. Sam Howell (up)
3. Skyy Moore (up)
2. Kadarius Toney (down)
1. Antonio Gibson (up)
Chris's Dynasty Ups & Downs:
5. Jonathan Taylor, J.K. Dobbins, Josh Jacobs (down)
4. Rhamondre Stevenson (down)
3. Garrett Wilson (up)
2. Drake London & Kyle Pitts (down)
1. Jordan Love (up)
At certain points in your fantasy draft, you need to go *safe*! That's the main theme of today's podcast: players you can take in the early/middle rounds who'll minimize the risk in your fantasy football build. It's a day for high floors! We'll also discuss why default values aren't particularly necessary for your auction drafts, and what strategies you should think about when positional runs happen early in your snake draft. Plus a snarkbag and a mixtape! Wow! Guest: Jeff Erickson of Rotowire.
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Jeff's Safe Players For 2023:
5. Mark Andrews
4. Cam Akers
3. Diontae Johnson
2. Kirk Cousins
1. Nick Chubb
Chris's Safe Players For 2023:
Round 5. D.J. Moore
Round 4. Amari Cooper
Round 3. Aaron Jones
Round 2. CeeDee Lamb
Round 1. Saquon Barkley
What makes a fantasy football bust? Is it someone who "craters" your team? Is it someone whose price tag is too high? Is it someone who flat-out cannot play? Yes! Any of these! Today we'll dig into the NFL players we will *not* be taking in fantasy football leagues this year, in our 2023 Bust List. We'll also update the ranks with particular attention paid to the news about Javonte Williams and Josh Jacobs, and discuss what to do with the other contract-holdout RBs if you're drafting this weekend. Guest: Patrick Daugherty of Rotoworld.
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Pat's Busts For 2023:
5. Breece Hall
4. Anthony Richardson
3. Najee Harris
2. James Conner
1. T.J. Hockenson
Chris's Busts For 2023:
5. Dalton Kincaid
4. Dameon Pierce
3. Breece Hall
2. Anthony Richardson
1. Jahmyr Gibbs
We're down to the best of the best. We'll resume our Flag Players list from Thursday and find the players we think represent the best value in your fantasy football drafts in 2023. It's no easy thing, as the early/mid rounds of drafts are probably more jumbled and filled with warts than ever before, but we'll pick out the guys we're targeting. And then we'll also do the opposite: Cousin Josh will point out five ADPs he absolutely hates, and therefore players he absolutely will not be drafting. Big fun! Guest: Cousin Josh.
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2023 Flag Players:
10. Jeff Wilson
9. Courtland Sutton
8. Tua Tagovailoa
7. Jakobi Meyers
6. Terry McLaurin
5. Jaylen Warren
4. Brandon Aiyuk
3. Michael Pittman
2. Ken Walker
1. Khalil Herbert
Cousin Josh's 2023 Frag Players:
5. Alexander Mattison
4. Amari Cooper
3. Jahmyr Gibbs
2. George Kittle
1. Calvin Ridley
It's that time of year. It's time to plant some flags on some players for fantasy football 2023. Which running backs and wide receivers (and quarterbacks!) are coming at good value in most fantasy drafts, and where should you consider taking them? It's an annual tradition: the Flag List...and we'll count down the first half on today's show. Then we'll also start questioning the assumptions that underpin a bunch of our rankings by listing the offensive players and situations we simply might be wrong about. Guest: Dave Kluge of Football Guys.
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2023 Flag Players (10 thru 6):
10. Jeff Wilson
9. Courtland Sutton
8. Tua Tagovailoa
7. Jakobi Meyers
6. Terry McLaurin
Dave's Offensive Situations We Could Be Wrong About:
5. What if the rookie tight ends faceplant?
4. Rhamondre Stevenson could finish so much lower!
3. Buccaneers pass game might be better than we think
2. What if the Ravens *don't* pass downfield as much as we think?
1. What if Justin Fields doesn’t take a big step as a passer?
Chris's Offensive Situations We Could Be Wrong About:
5. Deshaun Watson's bounce-back might not be real!
4. What if the Falcons can't run whenever they want?
3. Houston and Carolina offenses so remedial, how can any receivers be good for fantasy!
2. What if Anthony Richardson flat-out isn't ready to play — it might kill Pittman and Taylor
1. Buccaneers pass game might be better than we think
Who's winning the NFL's rushing title in 2023? Who'll lead the league in passing yards? Which team has the most favorable odds to make and miss the playoffs? Today we're hunting over/under season win totals we like, talking about teams we think the market is undervaluing, and digging overall into the upcoming season from a handicapping perspective! We'll also discuss some changes in our overall fantasy ranks, and watch some film on Vikings tight end T.J. Hockenson. Guest: Chris Raybon of the Action Network.
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Our Favorite NFL Futures Bets:
* Win Total Over: Raybon = Titans over 7.5, Falcons over 8.5, Chiefs over 11.5; Harris = Vikings over 8.5
* Win Total Under: Raybon = Saints under 9.5, Commanders under 6.5; Harris = Browns under 9.5
* Team To Make Playoffs: Raybon = Falcons +105, Titans +210; Harris = Dolphins -110
* Team To Miss Playoffs: Raybon = Jaguars +165, Saints +160, Dolphins -110; Harris; Saints +160
* Favorite Playoff Bet: Raybon = Cowboys to make Super Bowl +600; Harris = Titans to lose Wild Card +300
* NFL Leading Passer: Raybon = Herbert +650; Harris = Tagovailoa +2200
* NFL Leading Rushing: Raybon = Bijan Robinson +1000; Harris = Mixon +3500
* NFL Leading Receiver: Raybon = Jefferson +550; Harris = Lamb +2200
* Anthony Richardson over/under 2800.5 pass yards (Raybon = over; Harris = under)
* Deshaun Watson over/under 26.5 pass TDs (Raybon = under; Harris = under)
* Joe Mixon over/under 825.5 rush yards (Raybon = under; Harris = over)
* Saquon Barkley over/under 7.5 rush TDs (Raybon = under; Harris = over)
* Garrett Wilson over/under 1150.5 rec yards (Raybon = under; Harris = under)
* Terry McLaurin over/under 4.5 rec TDs (Raybon = under; Harris = over)
* Extra Raybon bets:
Hurts for MVP (+1200)
Jordan Love lead league in INT (+1300)
Dalvin Cook and Zeke Elliott have new teams! And their landing spots matter very much for fantasy football. We'll discuss Cook to the Jets and Elliott to the Patriots. Then we'll dig into Average Draft Position for 2023 as we currently understand it, and discuss the things the fantasy market is doing so far that surprise us most, both in terms of actual players being over- and under-valued and overall positional trends. Guest: Jake Ciely of The Athletic.
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Jake's Five ADP Surprises For 2023:
5. Deebo Samuel is too high
4. Kenneth Walker is too high
3. Deuce Vaughn is too low
2. Khalil Herbert is too low
1. Jahan Dotson is too low
Chris's Five ADP Surprises For 2023:
5. Travis Kelce at #5 overall!
4. Mike Evans dropping to 7th round
3. Derrick Henry is really low!
2. Jahmyr Gibbs is too high
1. WRs are going too high relative to RBs
There's too much rookie hype in 2023! That's because there's too much rookie hype *every* year! We'll try and sort through the noise and figure out what we should do with the 2023 fantasy football rookies, including the big names like Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and then also find a few rookie busts and some first-year players who we think will surprise on the positive side! We'll also review the weekend's injury news and camp buzz. Guest: MattWaldman of FootballGuys.com and the Rookie Scouting Portfolio.
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2023 Rookies Discussed Today:
Bijan Robinson
Jahmyr Gibbs
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Zay Flowers
Jordan Addison
Zach Charbonnet
Quentin Johnston
Tyjae Spears
Kendre Miller
Devon Achane
Roschon Johnson
Evan Hull
Zach Evans
Anthony Richardson
For the first time this summer, we crack open ADP just a little bit! We'll examine what players are going in the first three rounds of fantasy football drafts, and comment on what we think of the order. But the main event today is to discuss the risk profiles of each player in 2023's top 36, and rank how scary they might be to draft on a scale of 1 to 10. Big fun! Guest: Cousin Josh.
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Risk Factors Of First Three Rounds:
1. Justin Jefferson (CH = 2, JF = 1)
2. Christian McCaffrey (CH = 6, JF = 6)
3. Ja'Marr Chase (CH = 2, JF = 2)
4. Austin Ekeler (CH = 5, JF = 3)
5. Cooper Kupp (CH = 7, JF = 8)
6. Travis Kelce (CH = 4, JF = 4)
7. Saquon Barkley (CH = 5, JF = 3)
8. Tyreek Hill (CH = 3, JF = 2)
9. Bijan Robinson (CH = 7, JF = 5)
10. Stefon Diggs (CH = 2, JF = 2)
11. Nick Chubb (CH = 2, JF = 1)
12. CeeDee Lamb (CH = 3, JF = 2)
13. A.J. Brown (CH = 3, JF = 3)
14. Patrick Mahomes (CH = 3, JF = 4)
15. Jonathan Taylor (CH = 7, JF = 9)
16. Davante Adams (CH = 5, JF = 5)
17. Tony Pollard (CH = 5, JF = 4)
18. Josh Allen (CH = 4, JF = 4)
19. Derrick Henry (CH = 5, JF = 3)
20. Amon-Ra St. Brown (CH = 4, JF = 1)
21. Garrett Wilson (CH = 3, JF = 4)
22. Jalen Hurts (CH = 5, JF = 3)
23. Jaylen Waddle (CH = 4, JF = 5)
24. Josh Jacobs (CH = 6, JF = 8)
25. Rhamondre Stevenson (CH = 5, JF = 5)
26. Najee Harris (CH = 7, JF = 7)
27. Mark Andrews (CH = 3, JF = 2)
28. Chris Olave (CH = 4, JF = 4)
29. DeVonta Smith (CH = 4, JF = 3)
30. Travis Etienne (CH = 2, JF = 3)
31. Tee Higgins (CH = 4, JF = 2)
32. Breece Hall (CH = 10, JF = 8)
33. Lamar Jackson (CH = 5, JF = 5)
34. Joe Burrow (CH = 4, JF = 4)
35. Jahmyr Gibbs (CH = 8, JF = 7)
36. DK Metcalf (CH = 3, JF = 3)
Sometimes you just wanna discuss things you supremely enjoy seeing on a football field. That's our main topic for today: players we heart-emoji. Some of them are good for fantasy football -- and we'll point out which ones -- but some are just ballers whose games we admire. We'll also break down Michael Pittman's disappointing 2022 film, do a listener snarkbag *and* play a great listener mixtape. Guest: Brandon Funston of The Athletic.
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Brandon's Players He Loves:
5. Patrick Mahomes
4. Tyler Lockett
3. Terry McLaurin
2. Aaron Jones
1. DeAndre Hopkins
Chris's Players He Loves:
5. Tyler Lockett
4. Tony Pollard
3. Devonta Smith
2. Josh Jacobs
1. Saquon Barkley
Sometimes the fundamentals we liked about a player still apply even after a season in which he disappointed. That's the philosophy behind today's episode: we'll try and dig out some names of guys who were going higher in drafts last year, but who still have a decent amount of sneaky value for 2023. We'll also dig into Joe Mixon's '22 film and try and figure out whether he's in danger of tanking your team if you make him an early pick. Guest: Jamey Eisenberg of CBS Fantasy.
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Jamey's Post-Hype Sleepers For 2023:
5. Gabe Davis
4. Courtland Sutton
3. Nico Collins
2. Rashaad Penny
1. Elijah Moore
Chris's Post-Hype Sleepers For 2023:
5. Damien Harris
4. Nico Collins
3. Jeff Wilson / Raheem Mostert
2. Treylon Burks
1. Rashaad Penny
Every year in the early rounds of your fantasy draft, you'll have to make a call on someone you know carries immense risk: a running back, wide receiver, quarterback or tight end who could win your league if he hits, or deliver a devastating blow to your chances if he doesn't. Today we'll count down some "swing players" who fit that description -- they can swing your league one way or the other -- and talk about whether we'll take the plunge in our own drafts. We'll also reflect on the podcast's talent evaluation methodologies and try and understand some of our highest profile "misses." Guest: Andy Behrens of Yahoo! Fantasy.
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Andy's Swing Players For 2023:
5. Terry McLaurin
4. Mark Andrews
3. Breece Hall
2. Deebo Samuel
1. Justin Fields
Chris's Swing Players For 2023:
5. Amari Cooper
4. Ken Walker
3. Deebo Samuel
2. Cooper Kupp
1. Bijan Robinson
What's the opposite of a Film Room Hero? A Film Room Zero! Because it rhymes! In fact, the players we mention on today's show aren't *really* "zeroes," but they're guys we suspect aren't as good on the football field as their reputation would have you believe. That doesn't necessarily mean we'd *never* take them in a fantasy football draft, but it does mean we approach them with some suspicion. Plus we'll review Elijah Moore's game film from his disastrous 2022 season with the Jets and wonder whether there'll be more meat on the bone in his first season with the Browns. Guest: Jim McCormick of ESPN.
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Jim's Film Room Zeroes:
5. Christian Watson
4. Kenny Pickett
3. Joe Mixon
2. Najee Harris
1. Michael Pittman
Chris's Film Room Zeroes:
5. Rachaad White / James Cook
4. Allen Lazard
3. Dak Prescott
2. Gabe Davis
1. James Conner
Hope drafting that guy doesn't give you the stress farts! Today we'll count down a list of players we may actually *take* at their draft value, but we'll feel pretty stressed while we do it. Which quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends will produce the very worst upset tummies in 2023? We'll tell you today. Plus we'll weigh in on the NFL discourse around running backs and their contracts. Big fun! Guest: Cousin Josh.
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Josh's Acid Reflux All-Stars
5. Michael Pittman
4. David Montgomery
3. Cam Akers
2. DK Metcalf
1. Najee Harris
Chris's Acid Reflux All-Stars:
5. Michael Pittman
4. Rhamondre Stevenson
3. Deshaun Watson
2. Darren Waller
1. Aaron Jones
We watch a *lot* of game film, and sometimes guys just stand out. We're devoting most of today's show to players whose film we simply enjoy, because they have some trait on film that makes them stand apart from other players at their positions. We'll also talk about second-year Saints receiver Chris Olave who we (and everyone else) project to take a leap into the fantasy stratosphere...will review *his* game film and tell you why! Guest: Brett Kollmann of the Film Room YouTube channel.
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Brett's Five Film Room Heroes:
5. Roschon Johnson
4. Treylon Burks
3. Jaxson Smith-Njigba
2. Anthony Richardson
1. Calvin Ridley
Chris's Five Film Room Heroes:
5. Jakobi Meyers
4. Chig Okonkwo
3. Dameon Pierce
2. D'Andre Swift
1. Garrett Wilson
O-lines matter! We may not be perfect when it comes to predicting whether new offensive line configurations will work, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't try! Today we'll assess a few blocking units that could surprise and provide fantasy value to skill weapons, and some that might wind up being a mess in 2023. We'll also review film on Bears RB Khalil Herbert, do a snarkbag, play a music digression, and more! Guest: Ross Tucker of the Ross Tucker Football Podcast with music from Buck St. Thomas.
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Offensive Lines Discussed Today:
Ravens
Falcons
Chargers
Titans
Jaguars
Commanders
Patriots
Cowboys
Colts
We always enter August believing we completely understand the NFL depth charts, and we're always surprised when it turns out that we don't! On today's show, we'll forecast some veteran players we're a little nervous about, and the newer players who could threaten their depth-chart primacy. We'll also discuss a couple training camp injuries, and dig into the disastrous 2022 game film from Steelers receiver Diontae Johnson to decide whether he'll be hopeless again in '23. Guest: Denny Carter of Rotoworld.
NOTES:
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Denny's Five Players Who Could Lose Their Jobs:
5. Jamaal Williams loses his spot to Kendre Miller
4. Is Marquez Callaway ready to steal a WR2 role?
3. Demario Douglas hype turns him into a starter
2. Khalil Herbert could easily not be a clear #1
1. Michael Gallup overtaking Brandin Cooks
Chris's Five Players Who Could Lose Their Jobs:
5. Is Jordan Addison ready to completely supersede K.J. Osborn?
4. Is Brian Robinson the Commanders' starter? Or is more work going to Antonio Gibson?
3. What happens to Tyler Lockett if Jaxon Smith-Njigba is ready to rock?
2. Najee Harris won’t *sit*, but his "full-time" job could go away thanks to Jaylen Warren
1. Khalil Herbert could easily not be a clear #1