Let's talk late-round fantasy picks! Are they "sleepers"? Are they "flyers"? Are they "high-upside dart throws"? Whatever they are: your draft can suddenly look much better if you convert one of your selections that comes in the double-digit rounds. We'll tell you who *we've* been taking in the later rounds on today's show, we'll run through the NFL cutdown day carnage, *and* we'll tell you about La Liga Lebowski, our favorite expert dynasty league format. Guest: Denny Carter of Rotoworld.
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Denny's Late-Round Players He's Drafting:
5. David Njoku
4. Jahan Dotson
3. Rondale Moore
2. Rachaad White
1. Justin Fields
Chris's Late-Round Players He's Drafting:
5. Russell Gage
4. D'Onta Foreman
3. Raheem Mostert
2. Rachaad White
1. Nico Collins
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How sure are you of your fantasy football opinions in 2022? Are you *VERY* sure? The thing is: nobody really knows anything for certain before the games start counting, but we often speak as though we're positive about our opinions. Not today! Today we'll acknowledge some players on whom we are high or low, but we frankly can understand how it might turn out wrong. We'll also talk about Jimmy Garoppolo staying in San Francisco and Sony Michel getting cut in Miami. Guest: Scott Fish of the Scott Fish Bowl.
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Scott's Players He Worries He's Wrong About:
5. What if the Cole Kmet’s "great role" isn’t enough to make him good?
4. What if Damien Harris is actually pretty much the pure starter?
3. What if Adam Thielen really is just done?
2. What if Miles Sanders is ready to actually be good?
1. What if Allen Robinson never puts it together again?
Chris's Players He Worries He's Wrong About (Michael Thomas Memorial List):
5. What if D.J. Moore just can't score touchdowns?
4. What if an Achilles' tear is no longer a death sentence for a running back? (Cam Akers & James Robinson)
3. What if Allen Lazard is actually ready?
2. What if Alvin Kamara gets suspended?
1. What if D'Andre Swift is ready to bust out?
Dynasty fantasy football is tough! Balancing the present with the future is a challenge, and definitively knowing what to do with rookies before they've ever played in the NFL is well nigh impossible. We'll take another spin through the leading RBs and WRs in the Class of 2022 with some talk about their re-draft values but focus particularly on what we think about them for dynasty. How should you make dynasty trades involving rookies? Which rookies should you target now? We'll discuss, plus we'll give a philosophy about how superflex drafts are never the same twice. Guest: Paul Perdichizzi of Saturday2SundayFootball.com.
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2022 Rookie Dynasty & Re-Draft Players Discussed Today:
Breece Hall
Ken Walker
Dameon Pierce
James Cook
Rachaad White
Brian Robinson
Drake London
Jameson Williams
Chris Olave
Garrett Wilson
Treylon Burks
Jahan Dotson
Skyy Moore
Let's keep the super-deep sleepers rolling! We've got more dynasty names to watch, plus players who probably won't get drafted in 12-team leagues, but who might be worth adding at some point soon. We'll also listen to a couple ridiculously good mixtapes, plus a look at some re-draft sleepers who we think will outperform their ADP by multiple rounds. Let's go draft some great teams this weekend! Guest: Cousin Josh.
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Super-Deep Sleepers For 2022:
Eno Benjamin
Kendrick Bourne
Deejay Dallas
Danny Gray
Brevin Jordan
Kene Nwangwu
Tylan Wallace
Jaylen Warren
Nick Westbrook-Ikhene
Jeff Wilson
Josh's Warp Zone Players For 2022:
5. A.J. Dillon
4. Robert Woods
3. Tyler Lockett
2. Chase Edmonds
1. Hunter Renfrow
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Let's get deep! The players we list on today's show probably *shouldn't* be drafted in standard 12-team leagues. But this time every year we like to give you a list of speculative players who could be pretty good if things break right for them. Hopefully that means you'll be ready for them on your waiver wire, and for sure, they could make for intriguing dynasty acquisitions as well. We'll also discuss how the fantasy football market is taking shape this year, and how your draft strategy can take advantage. Guest: Matt Harmon of Yahoo! Fantasy.
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Matt's Super-Deep Sleepers For 2022:
Alec Pierce, WR, IND
Chris Evans, RB, CIN
Kyle Philips, WR, TEN
Kyren Williams, RB, LAR
Rashard Higgins, WR, CAR
Chris's Super-Deep Sleepers For 2022 (Part 1):
Eno Benjamin, RB, ARI
Kendrick Bourne, WR, NE
Deejay Dallas, RB, SEA
Danny Gray, WR, SF
Brevin Jordan, TE, HOU
Today we're shifting focus to dynasty to discover players whose long-term stocks have gone up or down since April's NFL Draft. Obviously, when we "talk dynasty" we also include some re-draft talk, since any dynasty team's life cycle necessarily includes *this year*. But we'll try and take the long view on some players who've seen their situations, depth charts and/or contract futures get better or worse over the past four months, and discuss whether we'd be buying or selling them. Guest: John Daigle of 4for4.com.
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John's Dynasty Ups & Downs For 2022:
5. Brian Robinson (up); Antonio Gibson (down)
4. J.K. Dobbins (up)
3. Jaylen Waddle (up)
2. Alvin Kamara (down)
1. Jalen Hurts (up)
Chris's Dynasty Ups & Downs For 2022:
5. Miles Sanders (down)
4. Deebo Samuel (up)
3. Elijah Mitchell (down)
2. Travis Etienne (up)
1. Rookies: Dameon Pierce (up), Romeo Doubs (up), Isiah Pacheco (up), Danny Gray (up), Treylon Burks (down)
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Let's talk fantasy football draft strategy! It pays to have a list of players who present *less risk*, to balance out your team, when you've gone high-ceiling/low-floor with some of your picks. We'll supply you with some player names who we think can smooth out the rough edges of a fantasy squad, and talk about the scenarios we find ourselves drafting them in. Plus we'll review some film on presumptive Packers WR1 Allen Lazard and play a great new mixtape! Guest: Jeff Erickson of Rotowire.
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Jeff's Safe Players For 2022:
5. Russell Wilson
4. Terry McLaurin
3. Joe Mixon
2. Stefon Diggs
1. Justin Jefferson
Chris's Safe Players For 2022:
5th Round: A.J. Dillon
4th Round: Michael Pittman
3rd Round: Keenan Allen
2nd Round: Nick Chubb
1st Round: Dalvin Cook
Fantasy Football Busts! Who likes 'em! Not us! Of course, the term "bust" is comically overused, and if you're not a hot-taek artist, you'll admit there's no NFL player you won't draft for a fantasy team at the right price. So instead, you can assume what we mean by "bust" is: we're not crazy about their draft-day price. We'll talk through our lists of overvalued players for 2022, plus check in on the fates of a few of the Flag Players! Guest: Patrick Daugherty of Rotoworld.
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Pat's Busts For 2022:
5. Leonard Fournette
4. Brandin Cooks
3. Joe Mixon
2. Antonio Gibson
1. Elijah Moore
Chris's Busts For 2022:
5. Clyde Edwards-Helaire
4. Amon-Ra St. Brown
3. Dalton Schultz
2. Antonio Gibson
1. D'Andre Swift
The Flag Player list continues, as we count down five more players we think provide you a combination of best draft day value, talent and upside to help you win your fantasy football league in 2022. We'll also update the Deshaun Watson nonsense the NFL keeps trying make you believe, and we've also got a list of five ANTI-flags: players who will *frag* your team by blowing it up in the worst possible way. Guest: Cousin Josh.
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Flag Players For 2022:
10. Rhamondre Stevenson
9. Tom Brady (with Russell Wilson)
8. J.K. Dobbins
7. Kenny Golladay
6. Rashod Bateman (with JuJu Smith-Schuster)
5. Christian Kirk
4. D.J. Moore
3. Alvin Kamara
2. Khalil Herbert
1. Michael Thomas
Josh's Frag Players For 2022:
5. Kyler Murray
4. Miles Sanders
3. Rashaad Penny
2. Deebo Samuel
1. David Montgomery
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It's Flag Day! Time to start putting a stake in the ground, and pick the 10 players we think will deliver the best value in your fantasy football draft. We'll begin the count with Flag Players No. 10 through 6, and then turn our attention to some assumptions we've made about NFL offenses on which our fantasy rankings hinge, but which could turn out to be wrong. We need to be prepared to adjust when Week 1 arrives! We need to know what to watch for! We'll begin that process today. Guest: Sigmund Bloom of FootballGuys.com.
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Flag Players For 2022:
10. Rhamondre Stevenson
9. Tom Brady (or Russell Wilson)
8. J.K. Dobbins
7. Kenny Golladay
6. Rashod Bateman (or JuJu Smith-Schuster)
Sig's Offenses He's Worried He Might Be Wrong About:
5. What if the Steelers quarterbacks are way better than we expect?
4. What if the removal of Joe Judge and Urban Meyer is enough for the Giants and Jaguars to get better?
3. What if the new Patriots coaching administration actually works?
2. What if the Buccaneers are headed for a big fall because of age and injury?
1. What if Matthew Stafford's elbow really is going to be a problem?
Chris's Offenses He's Worried He Might Be Wrong About:
5. What if the Bears are functional?
4. What if Carson Wentz actually *isn't* good enough to float some Commanders?
3. What if Brian Daboll really can fix Daniel Jones to *some* degree?
2. What if Bengals O-line isn't fixed?
1. What if the Raiders revival needs too much from Derek Carr that he can't give?
Who'll win the NFL passing title this year? Which teams' playoff chances are being undervalued and overvalued? Will Travis Etienne top 700 rushing yards? Who's the best bet for Rookie of the Year? Today we'll talk about the 2022 NFL season in terms Vegas understands: we're going to hunt over/under season win totals we like, talk about teams with underrated playoff hopes, and dig into what we think the league will look like by previewing the season from a handicapping perspective. And we'll also update the status of the most essential training camp stories we're paying attention to for fantasy. Guest: Chris Raybon of the Action Network.
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2022 Handicapping Preview:
* Team or Teams you feel strongest about going OVER their win total:
(Raybon = Steelers over 7.5 +100)
(Raybon = Lions over 6.5 -120)
(Harris = Chargers over 10 -140)
* Team or Teams you feel strongest about going UNDER their win total:
(Raybon = Bears under 5.5 +120)
(Harris = Patriots under 8.5 +105)
* Team or Teams you feel best bet to MAKE the playoffs:
(Raybon = Vikings -115)
(Harris = Vikings -115)
* Team or Teams you feel best bet to MISS the playoffs:
(Raybon = Titans -120)
(Harris = Colts +150)
* Favorite bet or bets for a playoff team:
(Raybon = Vikings to make Super Bowl +1800)
(Harris = Packers lose in Divisional Round +250)
* Favorite bet or bets on NFL Leading Passer:
(Raybon = Cousins +1800)
(Raybon = Wilson +2000)
(Harris = Rodgers +1600)
* Favorite bet or bets on NFL Leading Rushing:
(Raybon = N. Harris +1400)
(Harris = Barkley +3500)
* Favorite bet or bets on NFL Leading Receiver:
(Raybon = Chase +1000)
(Raybon = Pittman +3500)
(Harris = Hill +2000)
Some O/U on individual players:
* Aaron Rodgers over/under 4050.5 pass yards (both: over)
* Mac Jones over/under 23.5 pass TDs (both: over)
* Travis Etienne over/under 705.5 rush yards (both: under)
* Zeke Elliott over/under 8.5 rush TDs (Raybon: under; Harris: over)
* Cooper Kupp over/under 1,300.5 receiving yards (both: over)
* Hunter Renfrow over/under 5.5 receiving TDs (Raybon: under; Harris: over)
Other Raybon season-long bets:
Ken Walker 12-1 Offensive Rookie of the Year
Allen Robinson 25-1 Comeback Player of the Year
Kevin O’Connell 20-1 Coach of the Year
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It's time to start crafting fantasy football strategies for 2022! On today's show we'll make another, deeper foray into Average Draft Position, and focus on places where we think the market looks strangely inefficient. We'll also dig into the game film of Cowboys backup running back Tony Pollard, and decide what kind of player he is and what threat he poses to incumbent Zeke Elliott. Guest: Jake Ciely of The Athletic.
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Jake's Top 5 ADP Surprises:
5. Trey Lance in the ninth round as QB13 is way too low!
4. Marquise Brown at WR25 / fifth round is just too high!
3. Cam Akers as RB20 is so low!
2. Darren Waller still in the fourth round: no!
1. JuJu Smith-Schuster is going way too low
Chris's Top 5 ADP Surprises:
5. Kyle Pitts as a third-rounder in many ADPs
4. Big split between Courtland Sutton & Jerry Jeudy
3. Is Michael Thomas no longer good?
2. D’Andre Swift as a first-rounder in all formats
1. Treating McCaffrey & Barkley so differently
You've heard the rookie hype. Now let's get real. On today's podcast, we'll break down what the first-year NFL players can actually *do* on a field, and how that fits with what their teams need and scheme. We'll also break down tape on Bengals third-year WR Tee Higgins and discuss what he's good at and how that can continue to make him a viable -- if somewhat limited -- option for fantasy football in 2022. Guest: Matt Waldman of FootballGuys.com and the Rookie Scouting Portfolio.
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2022 NFL Rookies Discussed Today:
Treylon Burks
Drake London
Chris Olave
Jahan Dotson
Garrett Wilson
Breece Hall
Ken Walker
Jalen Tolbert
Brian Robinson
Skyy Moore
Dameon Pierce
Tyler Allgeier
Rachaad White
Romeo Doubs
Christian Watson
James Cook
Isaiah Spiller
Isiah Pacheco
Let's start talking about ADP! On today's show, we'll look at every player who's currently being drafted in the first three rounds of fantasy football drafts, and discuss the Risk Coefficient (note: made-up term) of each. We'll rank each of fantasy's top 36 player from 1 to 10 in terms of how much risk he'll bring to your fantasy squad this season. We've also got a wonderful snarkbag with your emails! Guest: Cousin Josh.
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Top 36 ADP With Our Risk Coefficients:
1. Jonathan Taylor (CH = 2) (JF = 1)
2. Christian McCaffrey (CH = 8) (JF = 8)
3. Derrick Henry (CH = 3) (JF = 4)
4. Austin Ekeler (CH = 4) (JF = 3)
5. Dalvin Cook (CH=3) (JF = 3)
6. Najee Harris (CH = 6) (JF = 5)
7. Cooper Kupp (CH = 1) (JF = 2)
8. Justin Jefferson (CH = 3) (JF = 1)
9. Ja'Marr Chase (CH = 2) (JF = 2)
10. Nick Chubb (CH = 3) (JF = 3)
11. D'Andre Swift (CH = 7) (JF = 6)
12. Davante Adams (CH = 5) (JF = 3)
13. Joe Mixon (CH = 2) (JF = 2)
14. Aaron Jones (CH = 6) (JF = 5)
15. Javonte Williams (CH = 6) (JF = 6)
16. Travis Kelce (CH = 4) (JF = 4)
17. Stefon Diggs (CH = 2) (JF = 0)
18. Alvin Kamara (CH = 7) (JF = 6)
19. Deebo Samuel (CH = 6) (JF = 9)
20. Josh Allen (CH = 2) (JF = 5)
21. CeeDee Lamb (CH = 3) (JF = 3)
22. Saquon Barkley (CH = 8) (JF = 7)
23. Tyreek Hill (CH = 6) (JF = 6)
24. Ezekiel Elliott (CH = 8) (JF = 8)
25. Leonard Fournette (CH = 3) (JF = 4)
26. Mike Evans (CH = 2) (JF = 2)
27. Mark Andrews (CH = 2) (JF = 3)
28. Patrick Mahomes (CH = 4) (JF = 4)
29. A.J. Brown (CH = 7) (JF = 7)
30. Cam Akers (CH = 10) (JF = 9)
31. Justin Herbert (CH = 2) (JF = 2)
32. Keenan Allen (CH = 1) (JF = 2)
33. David Montgomery (CH = 3) (JF = 6)
34. James Conner (CH = 8) (JF = 7)
35. Antonio Gibson (CH = 8) (JF = 7)
36. Tee Higgins (CH = 4) (JF = 3)
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA).
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Sometimes you just want to talk about stuff you like! On today's show, we'll list a few NFL players who make us happy when we watch them. Often they'll be very good for fantasy, and that's a bonus. But our focus today is just to tell you players we dig. We'll also look at Rhamondre Stevenson's rookie film *and* we'll talk about how we're drafting quarterbacks in superflex leagues and how we're drafting tight ends in leagues that don't have TE as a separate position. Also a funny mixtape! Guest: Brandon Funston of The Athletic.
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Brandon's Players He Loves:
5. DeAndre Hopkins
4. Darren Waller
3. Austin Ekeler
2. Cooper Kupp
1. Deebo Samuel
Chris's Players He Loves:
5. Keenan Allen
4. Tom Brady
3. Dallas Goedert
2. D.J. Moore
1. Nick Chubb
Everybody loves fantasy football sleepers! But in today's ultra-hyped NFL environment, sleepers are pretty tough to come by. Today we'll try and pinpoint some players who've gone through the fantasy hype mill before and not lived up to expectations, but who we believe could finally come through for their believers in 2022. We'll also break down the film of breakout fourth-year WR Hunter Renfrow. Guest: Jamey Eisenberg of CBS Fantasy.
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If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA).
21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NJ/ NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. N/A in NH/OR/ON. New customers only. Min. $5 wager required. Risk free bet paid out in the form of non-withdrawable free bet token; max. $1,000. Eligibility restrictions apply. Offer ends 8/14/22. See http://draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.
Jamey's Post-Hype Sleepers For 2022:
5. Irv Smith
4. Mecole Hardman & Marquez Valdes-Scantling
3. Kenneth Gainwell
2. Michael Gallup
1. Brandon Aiyuk
Chris's Post-Hype Sleepers For 2022:
5. Rondale Moore
4. Michael Carter
3. Christian Kirk
2. Darrell Henderson
1. JuJu Smith-Schuster
Selecting high-variance players in a fantasy football draft is a viable strategy that can help you win. On today's podcast, we'll dig into a list of "swing" players whose high potential ceilings and low potential floors could swing the fate of your fantasy team. We'll also update camp stories on J.K. Dobbins and Treylon Burks, plus weigh in on the injury and rehab situations of Chris Godwin and Michael Thomas. Guest: Andy Behrens of Yahoo Fantasy.
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Andy's Swing Players For 2022:
5. Gabriel Davis
4. Kyle Pitts
3. Alvin Kamara
2. Saquon Barkley
1. Cam Akers
Chris's Swing Players For 2022:
5. Trey Lance
4. Adam Thielen
3. Melvin Gordon
2. Josh Jacobs
1. Gabriel Davis
We wouldn't say you *can't* draft the players from today's show. We're not really even talking about fantasy football draftees who come at bad value. Mostly: we think today's players are overrated in some way, and maybe don't have the on-field qualities that typically characterize great fantasy production. We'll count down our list of Film Room Zeroes, after doing a film breakdown on a second-year WR who is definitely *not* a zero: the Colts' Michael Pittman. Guest: Jim McCormick of ESPN.
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Jim's Film Room Zeroes:
5. Deion Jones / Trevon Diggs
4. Jameis Winston
3. Miles Sanders
2. Devin Singletary
1. Allen Robinson
Chris's Film Room Zeroes:
5. Jakobi Meyers
4. Raheem Mostert / Chase Edmonds / Sony Michel
3. Amon-Ra St. Brown
2. Jalen Hurts
1. Allen Lazard
Sometimes you have to draft a player who upsets your tummy. Today we'll discuss some of the potential 2022 fantasy football selections who make us nervous even if we get them at our preferred price. After all, to win a fantasy title, you often have to take a risk. But it doesn't feel good! We'll also dig into the Year 2 game film of Lions RB D'Andre Swift and decide whether he's more than just a satellite back. Guest: Cousin Josh.
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Josh's Acid-Reflux All Stars:
5. Cam Akers
4. DK Metcalf
3. A.J. Brown
2. Zeke Elliott
1. Saquon Barkley
Chris's Acid-Reflux All Stars
5. Breece Hall
4. Diontae Johnson
3. Antonio Gibson
2. James Conner
1. DK Metcalf
Sometimes you just want to talk about players who look great on tape! That's what we'll do today: we'll certainly keep one eye on fantasy football relevance, but we'll also try and forecast future NFL greatness beyond current NFL circumstances for some players who just popped for us on film. Plus we'll give a film-study breakdown on possible second-year breakout Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth. Guest: Matt Harmon of Yahoo! Fantasy.
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Matt's Film Room Heroes:
5. Brandon Aiyuk
4. Nico Collins
3. Khalil Herbert
2. Isaiah McKenzie
1. Jahan Dotson
Chris's Film Room Heroes
5. Trey Sermon
4. Kenny Gainwell
3. Kadarius Toney
2. Elijah Moore
1. Khalil Herbert
It's tough to know which NFL teams have improved their blocking just by reviewing the transaction wires. That's why we have Ross Tucker on the show every year, to set the stage for some of the best and worst blocking units we can expect. Also, we'll dig into Tua Tagovailoa's tape and see if he made strides in Year 2, and whether his limitations could hurt the fantasy stock of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Plus we'll hit on the NFL news of the day, play some old favorite sound drops, and groove to a music digression. Guest: Ross Tucker of the Ross Tucker Podcast with music from Buck St. Thomas.
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Ross's Positive 2022 Offensive Line Grades:
Eagles (obvious)
Chiefs (obvious)
Lions
Ravens
Ross's Negative 2022 Offensive Line Grades:
Bears (obvious)
Seahawks (obvious)
Cardinals
Steelers
Titans
NFL depth charts are funny. One moment, they seem ironclad, and you're ready to draft your fantasy team based on who's got a starting job. The next moment, things change. Today we'll count down our lists of players we're worried could lose their starting gigs by the time Week 1 rolls around, and we'll talk about how we're drafting these players. We'll also review Najee Harris's rookie film and discuss where we come down on the Steelers' bruising RB. Guest: Scott Pianowski of Yahoo! Fantasy.
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Scott's Players Who Could Lose Their Job:
5. Allen Lazard
4. Jamison Crowder
3. Cordarrelle Patterson
2. Clyde Edwards-Helaire
1. Damien Harris
Chris's Players Who Could Lose Their Jobs:
5. Chase Claypool
4. Damien Harris
3. Elijah Mitchell
2. Clyde Edwards-Helaire
1. Cordarrelle Patterson
Honorable Mentions: Rashaad Penny, Devin Singletary, Chase Edmonds
We're back to daily podcasts! It's time to narrow down all the training camp stories we talked about in July and figure out where the true summer linchpins are. We'll discuss the beat reports we *will* be paying attention to, and how the results of position battles and/or health recoveries could directly affect our fantasy ranks. We'll also break down the tape on Jerry Jeudy and discuss whether he should be selected as a WR2 in fantasy drafts for 2022. Guest: Dave Richard of CBS Fantasy.
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Dave's Top Five Six August Storylines:
6. Will Diontae Johnson's hold-in end?
5. Ezekiel Elliott gets fluff and it helps his draft stock
4. Seahawks sign Jimmy Garoppolo
3. Does Jalen Hurts struggling in training camp continue?
2. Does Cam Akers impress people in camp?
1. Pass catchers in Cleveland...will Njoku roll?
Chris's Top Five August Storylines:
5. Chris Godwin news about his status throughout August
4. J.K. Dobbins news about his knee in August
3. Chiefs WR clues, please!
2. Michael Thomas health
1. Packers WR clues, please!